HZN-1·Fuel Horizon·For drivers

Fuel Horizon for ride-hail drivers

Ride-hail apps already know which car a driver has and every mile it drives. That's enough to estimate fuel left with no sensor, predict when the driver will need to fill up, and point them to a partner station near their next drop-off before the warning light ever comes on. Stations pay for the visit; drivers save on every gallon.

Concept · simulated city and prices
DriversCheaper fuel, shorter detoursA discount at a station near where a trip ends, planned before the tank gets low.
StationsCustomers who were going to fill up anywayPay only when a driver they were sent to actually buys fuel.
The appA commission and happier driversRevenue from stations, and a perk that keeps drivers on the platform.

Watch a shift

One driver, an 8-hour evening shift in a made-up city. Switch between how refuelling works today and with Fuel Horizon, or compare both on the same shift.

Partner stationOther stationOn a tripHeading to fuel
Shift · 4 PM to midnight
4:00 PM
Trips
0
Starting the shift…
Fuel (estimated)15% line
Miles0
Spent on fuel$0.00
Refuel detour0.0 mi
Saved$0.00

Same shift, both ways

TodayWith Fuel Horizon

How the estimate works

The same idea as the planes on the globe: you don't need a fuel sensor if you know the vehicle and how it's moving.

Start from the last fill-up. The driver taps “filled up” or pays with the app's card, so the app knows the tank was full at that moment.

Subtract every mile. GPS already records each trip. Divide by the car's real-world fuel economy, adjusted for city crawl, highway stretches and time spent idling.

Learn each car. Every fill-up shows how many gallons actually went in, so the estimate for that driver gets more accurate week by week, just as the aircraft model was calibrated against published figures.

Predict, then nudge. From the last hour of driving, project when the tank hits 15%. If that's within the hour, suggest the partner station closest to where the next drop-off ends.

Vehicle
Make and model from the driver's registration: tank size and fuel economy
Trips
GPS miles, speed and idle time, already recorded for fares
Fill-ups
A tap in the app or a card transaction resets the tank
Stations
Partner locations, prices and current offers
// fuel left, no sensor fuel = tank // at the last fill-up − miles_city / mpg_city − miles_hwy / mpg_hwy − idle_hours × idle_gal_per_h // when will it reach 15%? rate = gallons used in the last hour minutes = (fuel − 0.15 × tank) / rate × 60 // nudge when it's close if minutes < 60: station = partner nearest the next drop-off offer = price − discount // after each fill-up, learn the car mpg ← mpg × (estimated gallons / actual gallons)

Who pays whom

Stations pay a small fee only for fuel actually bought by a driver they were sent to. Part of it comes back to the driver as a discount. Move the sliders; the numbers are illustrative, not from any company.

Partner stationgets a full-tank customer
15¢/gal fee
Ride-hail appkeeps 5¢/gal
10¢/gal discount
Driverpays less at the pump
Active drivers in one city
Share who follow the nudges
Fill-ups per driver per week
Gallons per fill-up
Fee the station pays (per gallon)
Discount passed to the driver
Gallons steered to partners each month
Fuel sales for partner stations each month
The app's net commission each month
Each participating driver saves per year

Fuel sales assume $3.45 a gallon. Stations also tend to sell snacks, drinks and car washes to those visitors, which isn't counted here.

What exists today

Fuel perks for ride-hail drivers aren't new. What's missing is the prediction.

India

  • Uber and Indian Oil offered drivers discounts and loyalty points on petrol, diesel and CNG at IOCL pumps.
  • Ola ran cashback and fuel cards with Indian Oil, and fuel e-vouchers with BPCL.
  • Rapido and HPCL announced fuel and maintenance benefits for its captains in 2025.
  • State-run oil companies run their own station networks, so one deal can cover thousands of pumps.

United States

  • Uber links drivers to Shell Fuel Rewards and Upside cash back from the Driver app, and boosted both during the 2026 price spike.
  • Lyft has a standing Upside deal: cents per gallon back, more for higher driver tiers.
  • Upside is paid by stations for the extra sales it brings and shares that with drivers.
  • Most branded US stations are independently owned, so deals are signed station by station or through networks like Upside.

The gap

Every program today is passive cash back: the driver earns it after happening to fill up at a participating station. None of them predicts when a driver will need fuel and puts the right station in front of them at the right moment, on the way to where their next trip ends. That timing is what makes a visit worth paying for, and it's the part Fuel Horizon already does for every plane in the sky.

See the aircraft versionHow accurate the fuel model is